Many throughout the Muslim world
and beyond are asking this question: What are the real
reasons behind the US invasion of Iraq and its saber
rattling against Syria and Iran? Let's face it. Iraq,
Syria and Iran have never posed a direct threat to the
US mainland as they are simply too far away. So why
would the US be willing to expend so many human lives
and so much treasury?
Theories
abound. At the top of the list is America's quest for
oil, a shrinking, non-renewable resource. But, in
reality, the US gets very little of its oil from the
Middle East and the Gulf, as most of it is obtained from
South America and Africa.
Another
theory revolves around the petrodollar monopoly, which
both Iraq and Iran have sought to disband by trading
their oil in Euros. There may be something in this one
but it doesn't explain why Syria is in the firing line.
The US says
it wishes to export 'democracy' to the region but its
reaction towards the Shiite government in Iraq, led by
Ibrahim Jaafari, whose party has close ties with Iran,
and the way that the democratically-elected new Hamas-led
Palestinian government has been isolated, hardly lends
credence to this. Democracy will not bring US-friendly
governments, which is what the Bush administration
really seeks.
A
theory, which many in the Arab world believe, should
also be discussed and dissected is this. Is the US
manipulating and remolding the area so that Israel can
remain the only regional superpower in perpetuity? This
is not as fanciful as one might imagine on first glance.
Read on…
"The
dissolution of Syria and Iraq into ethnically or
religiously unique areas such as in Lebanon is Israel's
primary target on the Eastern front…Iraq, rich in oil on
the one hand and internally torn on the other is
guaranteed as a candidate for Israel's targets. Its
dissolution is even more important for us than that of
Syria. Iraq is stronger than Syria. In the short run, it
is Iraqi power which constitutes the greatest threat to
Israel.
"An
Iraqi-Iranian war will tear Iraq apart and cause its
downfall at home even before it is able to organize a
struggle on a wide front against us. Every kind of
inter-Arab confrontation will assist us in the short run
and will shorten the way to the more important aim of
breaking up Iraq into denominations as in Syria and
Lebanon.
In Iraq, a
division into provinces along ethnic/religious lines as
in Syria during Ottoman times is possible. So, three (or
more) states will exist around the three major cities:
Basra, Baghdad and Mosul and Shiite areas in the South
will separate from the Sunni and Kurdish north.
Sound familiar?
Incredibly,
the above was penned by Oded Yinon, an Israeli
journalist attached to Israel's Foreign Ministry, nearly
a quarter of a century earlier in 1982. Yinon's
predictive musings are titled "The Zionist Plan for the
Middle East" and were published in Kivunim, a
World Zionist Organization periodical.
Now let's
take a look at what actually happened more than 20 years
on.
The
eight-year long Iran-Iraq War that ended in 1988 was
responsible for over a million casualties but did not
result in Yinon's desired effect. Iraq still stood as a
strong homogenous entity. Instead, Iraq was severely
weakened in 1991 as a result of the Gulf War brought
about by Saddam Hussein's invasion of Kuwait. However,
the country remained unified.
It took the
2003 US-led invasion of Iraq and the subsequent
occupation to destabilize Iraq and split the country on
sectarian lines. Indeed, its new constitution is drawn
around a loose federation with partial autonomy for the
northern Kurds and the southern Shiites, and the country
is now rife with sectarian, religious and ethnic strife.
Let's move
on to Syria. Until the March 2003 invasion of Iraq Syria
under President Bashar Al-Assad enjoyed reasonably good
relations with the West, and we should remember that
Syria fought alongside the US-led allies during the Gulf
War. Syria also voted, albeit reluctantly, for the UN
resolution that oiled the invasion, and was a strong
partner in the so-called 'War on Terror'.
Then, lo
and behold, Syria could do no right. Suddenly, it was
accused to all kinds of 'crimes' from hiding Iraq's
mythical weapons of mass destruction, harboring
insurgents and terrorists, and allowing the free passage
of fighters and arms into Iraq.
Heavy
pressure was then put on to Syria to pull out from its
de facto occupation of Lebanon following the death of
the former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, and,
now the Syrian government is being investigated by the
UN for being involved in his assassination.
Today the
US is actively engaged in weakening the Al-Assad
government and is supporting opposition parties. If it
is successful, experts predict Syria, like Iraq, will
fall victim to sectarianism and internecine conflict.
Lebanon,
which had been recovering from a long civil war and an
Israeli occupation, and was on the point of finding some
semblance of unity, is also in danger of being
destabilized with parties lining up into pro-Syrian and
anti-Syrian confederations.
Yinon's
strategy was based on this premise. In order to survive
Israel must become an imperial regional power and must
also ensure the break-up of all Arab countries so that
the region may be carved up into small ineffectual
states unequipped to stand up to Israeli military might.
The writer
described the Arab-Muslim world as a temporary house of
cards put together by foreigners and arbitrarily divided
into states, all made up of combinations of minorities
and ethnic groups which are hostile to one another.
Yinon then
goes on to bemoan Israel's relinquishment of the Sinai
to Egypt under the Camp David Peace Treaty due to that
area's reserves of oil, gas and other natural resources.
"Regaining
the Sinai Peninsula is, therefore, a political priority,
which is obstructed by Camp David…" he writes, "and we
will have to act in order to return the situation to the
status quo which existed in Sinai prior to Sadat's visit
and the mistaken peace agreement signed with him in
March 1979.
Yinon then
predicts that if Egypt is divided and torn apart, some
other Arab countries will cease to exist in their
present forms and a Christian Coptic state would be
founded in Upper Egypt. Perhaps this explains why Egypt
was referred to as "the prize" during a 2002 Rand
Corporation presentation to Pentagon at the behest of
arch neo-conservative and friend of Israel Richard Perle.
When it
comes to Egypt, Yinon was completely wrong in his
calculations. He believed that Egypt would break the
peace treaty with Israel giving the Israelis the
opportunity to drive their tanks straight back into the
Sinai and other coveted areas. However, the Egyptian
government under President Hosni Mubarak has stuck to
the letter of the treaty and has become an important US
ally over the years.
Yinon's
solution to the ongoing Israel-Palestine problem was to
herd the Palestinians across the Jordan River and turn
Jordan into a Palestinian state.
He rejected
the land for peace principle, saying, "It is not
possible to go on living in this country in the present
situation without separating the two nations, the Arabs
to Jordan and the Jews to the areas west of the river.
Genuine
co-existence and peace will reign over the land only
when the Arabs understand that without Jewish rule
between the Jordan and the sea they will have neither
existence nor security - a nation of their own and
security will be theirs only in Jordan."
Yinon, and
others of like mind must once again be disappointed.
Jordan gave up any thoughts of Pan-Arabism long before
the demise of King Hussein and his son King Abdullah is
now America's staunchest Arab ally in the region.
The idea of
packing 4.5 million Palestinians across the Jordan is,
thankfully no longer an option, although it appeared to
be in 2002 according to an article by Professor van
Creveld in Britain's Daily Telegraph.
At that
time, a poll showed that 44 per cent of Jewish Israelis
who took part in a Gallup poll favored the expulsion of
Palestinians across the River Jordan.
Professor
Creveld also believed Ariel Sharon favored this option
too and quoted Sharon in his piece as emphasizing
Jordan's Palestinian majority and referring to it as the
Palestinian state. "The inference – that the
Palestinians should go there – is clear," wrote Creveld.
Theodore
Herzl, Zionism's founder, wrote in Volume II of his
Complete Diaries that the area of the Jewish state
stretches "from the Brook of Egypt (the Nile) to the
Euphrates.
And on July
9, 1947, Rabbi Fischmann, a member of the Jewish Agency
for Palestine, told a UN Special Committee of Enquiry
that "the Promised Land extends from the River of Egypt
up to the Euphrates, it includes parts of Syria and
Lebanon."
If you feel
the idea that the US would put itself on the line for
the sake of Israel is far-fetched, then it is worth
remembering the words of former Israeli Prime Minister
Yitzhak Rabin, who claimed in his book that the Israeli
government was, in fact, responsible for the design of
American policy in the Middle East after the 1967 'Six
Day War'.
Admittedly,
Yinon's essay does not include the overthrow of the
Iranian government, but take a look at comparatively
recent statements coming out of Israel on this subject.
During a
visit to Washington in November 2003 – two years before
the US government turned its fire on Iran - the Israeli
Minister of Defense Shaul Mofaz told US officials that
"under no circumstances would Israel be able to abide by
nuclear weapons in Iranian possession.
During the
same month, Meir Dagan, who is the Director of the
Mossad, told a parliamentary committee that Iran posed
an "existential threat" to Israel, assuring members that
Israel could deal with this threat.
Last year,
the rhetoric out of Israel was ratcheted up with the
Israeli Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom telling the press
that "the idea that this tyranny of Iran will hold a
nuclear bomb is a nightmare, not only for us but also
for the whole world."
It is
surely the greatest irony that while Israel still
officially denies it even has a nuclear program and has
never signed up to the NPT, it has for years been
stirring up trouble for Iran, which besides being a
member of the NPT voluntarily signed additional
protocols allowing for snap IAEA inspections of its
nuclear sites.
An article
in Britain Daily Telegraph dated February 18 headed
"America would back Israel attack on Iran" clearly
indicates that it is Israel leading the charge against
Iran.
The article
quotes George W. Bush as saying, "Clearly, if I was the
leader of Israel and I'd listened to some of the
statements by the Iranian ayatollahs that regarded the
security of my country, I'd be concerned about Iran
having a nuclear weapon as well. And in that Israel is
our ally, and in that we've made a very strong
commitment to support Israel, we will support Israel if
her security is threatened."
A year
later and the US government is no longer portraying
Iran's purported nuclear ambitions as a threat to
Israel, but a threat to the United States. In this way
the case against Iran and the possible repercussions
emanating from that, can be sold to the American people.
Suddenly Israel's concerns have become theirs.
As the
columnist Doug Ireland writes in his expose "The Real
Aipac Spy Ring Story – It was all about Iran", "Bush's
slip-of-the-tongue that revealed his real intentions was
front-page news in Le Monde and other European dailies –
but got no attention in the States-side major media."
For those
who are not familiar with the Aipac spy story, here is
the gist.
Pentagon
analyst Lawrence A. Franklin, who worked out of the
office of founder neo-conservative Douglas Feith, handed
over classified information on Iran to officials of
Aipac, a US-based pro-Israel lobby. This information was
then forwarded to the Israeli government.
As Justin
Raimondo wrote in September last year, "This case has
received relatively little publicity in relation to its
importance. It isn't just the fact that, for the first
time in recent memory, Israel's powerful lobby has been
humbled. What is going on here is the exposure of
Israel's underground army in the US – covert legions of
propagandists and outright spies, whose job it is to not
only make the case for Israel but to bend American
policy to suit Israel's needs) and in the process,
penetrate closely-held US secrets.
Interesting, too, is the fact that Franklin's boss
Douglas Feith was not only a main proponent for the
invasion of Iraq he has also been pushing the case
against Iran.
Feith was
also one of the authors of a 2000 policy document
written for Binyamin Netanyahu titled "Clean Break: a
new policy for securing the realm", which recommended
"the rolling back of Syria" and is a signatory to the
"Project for a New American Century" document". He is
also a vocal advocate of US intervention in the Middle
East, and has strong ties to Israel's hawkish Likud
Party and the Jewish Institute for National Security
Affairs (JINSA).
Back to the
question of whether the US is, indeed, waging wars on
behalf of Israel. In short, we can't be certain and we
may never know since the Bush White House has sealed its
private tapes and papers for 100 years.
There is
one thing we can know for sure, though. Oded Yinon's
1982 "Zionist Plan for the Middle East" (interested
readers can Google to find the essay is in its entirety
on the web) is in large part taking shape. Is this pure
coincidence? In the absence of absolute proof to the
contrary, we can only say 'perhaps'. |