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By Martin Thomas


  Dubai is a hot desert country with a small population and until oil was discovered it had few natural resources other than its Creek and smart people with a talent for and history of trading.

  And even after the discovery of oil, it turns out to have less than some of its neighbours. And yet Dubai flourishes.  It flourishes not just locally but also as a major player in the world market.  It has become a hub for re-exports in the Middle East and Indian Sub-continent.  It has two of the world’s largest ports – the Port Rashid and Jebel Ali and has become the world’s third largest operator of ports with its acquisition of P&O.  Dubai has a dynamic stock market and a booming property market.  EMAAR is the world’s largest quoted property developer.  Construction projects, such as Palm Island and of course the Burj Al Arab, have become symbolic to the rest of the world of what is happening here.  People from all over the world are flocking to live and work here bringing with them an impressive diversity skills and business experience to add to the cultural mix.  Standards of living are among the best in the world for perhaps the greatest proportion of the population at large – and improving all the time.  Global companies are rushing to open offices here as a focal point for business in this part of the world.

  And so it goes on.  By any measure of economic development we just get better and better, beating our compatriots in the UAE and surpassing all other countries nearby for growth and diversity.

  We no longer rely wholly on oil as the source of our wealth per se but more as the most valuable tool we have to help our overall development.  And all this is happening in a region, as a whole, of considerable political and economic turmoil.

  And whilst some fear we may be in an economic bubble, most believe that we are in a position of real and continuing growth with underlying strength and long-term stability.    True, some of the excesses of the stock and property markets cannot continue but the development of a national infrastructure that includes roads, utilities, telecoms, homes, tourist facilities, medical support, financial institutions, and both national and foreign businesses, is a good place to start.  Not to mention sufficient potable water for over 1 million people in a country with no more than a handful of rainy days a year.

  So what is it that has created the environment for this remarkable development in Dubai?

  Today we are often compared with Singapore and Hong Kong.  But Hong Kong came to prominence over a period of 100 years and Singapore has taken over 50 years to achieve its present position.  Dubai has truly developed in little over 10 years and it hasn’t stopped yet.

Oil helps – revenues from oil still represent about 7% of GDP.  Geographically we are in a perfect position to grow an economy with a strong emphasis on re-export goods and services and especially so in the Middle East and Indian Sub-continent. Look at the record of over the years:

  Exports are flat but the re-export curve is steep, as is the import curve.  Imports remain high for two reasons.  We are developing an infrastructure and we have rising consumer demands as a result of growing and increasingly widespread wealth.  Consider how the import value of consumer durables has risen from 30Bn/Dhs in 2000 to over 70Bn/Dhs in 2004 with a near 40% year on year growth in the last year of the period.

  But our uniqueness stems in particular from the guidance and vision of our ruler, H.H. Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, a business visionary of enormous drive and energy, who manages the nation more as if it were a Dubai based multi national corporation than a country.  This is truly unprecedented.

  The Government’s hand rests everywhere on the business of the country, but generally it rests lightly.  Rather like the board of a large company it interests itself in the big picture of what is happening, sometimes taking direct control initially but then letting go as the staff gain expertise and confidence.  An example presents itself in the area of healthcare.  In 1995 Dubai had 5 government controlled hospitals.  It still does but by 2003 there were also 9 privately run ones.  The total number of government-employed doctors has risen 23% in the same timeframe but the number of private doctors has risen 144%.  The number of government health clinics has risen 6% but the number of private ones by 77%.

  We have freedom of movement of capital and of goods and services.  The whole environment is geared to developing business allowing capital to move in and out of the country quickly, to acquire, sell and resell goods and services anywhere in the world and quick easy redeployment when needed with minimal bureaucracy and considerable help from the authorities.  The establishment of the free zones has added to the unique flavour of doing business here and a fledgling but lively stock market helps keeps investors coming into the country.  Investment floods in from Saudi or Europe and locally as it has done, for example, in the last year for property following proposed creation of freehold laws.  There is a lot of volatility in our stock market and not many stocks but money flows freely and often, meaning that as commercial opportunities arise there is always investment available to boost the economy as a whole.  Day traders are having a field day but it keeps money flowing in the market as well as boosting consumer spending. 

  Government regulation is fairly light and may have to tighten – not to stifle growth but to prevent for example, false markets caused by insider trading.

  And we have a tax-free environment.  This stimulates growth of businesses - large and small.  The government’s Intilaq scheme helps the smallest of business get started whilst the profits from the stock market keep investment flowing.  Profits remain with the company allowing for re-investment in growth or new enterprises.

  Most unusually of all we have the free movement of labour.  Foreign workers flock here ensuring both labour per se and the highest levels of skill are attracted. And here again we have the light hand of government operating simplified immigration processes & working at speeds unthinkable in Europe or USA.  Businesses are able to find skilled workers quickly and bring them in easily.  Labour is attracted to the region because it can earn well and perhaps just as importantly with the free movement of money it can repatriate significant amounts of cash.

  Dubai remains something of a self-perpetuating enigma.  Until the sad demise of Sheikh Maktoum bin Rashid Al Maktoum we had a Company Chairman ably assisted by a CEO – Shaikh Mohammad Bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice- President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai – men who would have risen to prominence in any boardroom in the world.  Now we have a new Board with stability provided by the new Chairman.  If they continue in the current policies, Dubai should be able to keep paying its shareholders – all of us living and working here, UAE Nationals and Immigrants alike – handsome dividends. 

   

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