The
recent Dubai Ports World debacle was a slap in the face
for Dubai, which behaved with exemplary propriety and
dignity throughout. Indeed, if the government-owned
company hadn't agreed to sell-on the management of six
U.S. ports to sanctioned buyers, the US. President, who
initially championed the takeover, could have been faced
with a major political crisis.
There is no doubt that America's
rejection of a Dubai-owned company to manage its ports
was based on sheer ignorance and bigotry since US
intelligence agencies were said to have heartily backed
the deal and it was blessed by the Committee for Foreign
Investment in the United States.
Furthermore, if Dubai Ports World was such a security
risk then why is it entrusted with the US fleet
overseas?
Ordinary American people only had to hear the word
'Arab' to freak out with knee jerk emotionalism over
9-11.
American newspapers couldn't wait to get in on the act
with columnists reminding their readers that some of the
funds used by the 9-11 hijackers at one time passed
through UAE banks, conveniently forgetting that the
country is an epicenter for regional banking.
Some critics blasted the deal under the pretext that
Dubai Ports World is government-owned ignoring the fact
that several US ports are managed by companies owned by
the government of Singapore.
Politicians eager to exploit their rivals gleefully
jumped on the deal as a way to erode George Bush's
personal credibility and to capitalize on the popular
anti-Arab mood.
Republican Senator Lindsey Graham told Fox News "this is
no time to outsource major port security to a
foreign-based company," and that "most Americans are
scratching their heads wondering, 'Why this company,
from this region, now?"
The furore may have died down now but scars still remain
and it's foreseeable that there may be more such
contretemps between Dubai and the US authorities in the
future.
Editorial Director of the Middle East Economic Digest
told the Associated Press: "It's a sobering moment.
People are going to have to be much more careful. There
is a fear they (members of Congress) may move on to
other targets in the Arab world. If it happened once it
can happen again." It already might be.
According to a report in the Washington Post
dated March 7 "another Dubai acquisition is drawing Bush
administration scrutiny because of the national security
risks this time of plants in Georgia and Connecticut
that make precision components used in engines for
military aircraft and tanks."
The article points out that due to the burgeoning US
trade deficit foreign capital is needed more than ever,
yet, foreign money from places like Dubai "trigger
visceral reactions among Americans seared by memories of
the September 11 attacks."
The usual suspects in the US Congress have also
expressed concern over Dubai International Capital's
purchase of a private British aerospace manufacturer
Doncasters Group Limited, which works on top secret US
weapons programs. This new outcry has led to the
takeover coming under scrutiny by the Bush
administration, which is due to present a report before
US lawmakers.
A Power and Interest News Report dated April 19
comments thus: "While Dubai has ostensibly looked past
the criticisms raised in the failed ports deal, a
similar outcome in the current matter could well scare
away foreign investors, Arabs, and otherwise, and signal
that the United States is not necessarily open for
business".
For its part Dubai has been muted with its reaction,
although the UAE economy minister Sheikh Lubna Al-Qassimi
told the Financial Times "There are other
countries that are competing for our money" warning the
US would be less attractive in terms of investments if
politics were allowed to interfere.
In March, talks on a Free Trade Agreement between the
UAE and the US were postponed with both sides refusing
to comment as to whether the postponement was due to the
Dubai Ports World affair.
However, the Governor of the UAE Central Bank Sultan bin
Nasser Al-Suweidi was more forthcoming, saying the move
by US lawmakers to block the takeover could impact the
free trade pact. "It is something that doesn't reflect
well," he said.
Some members of Congress are using security concerns to
erect barriers to free trade and propose a halt to
negotiations with the UAE. A voice of reason was Rob
Portman, a US Trade Representative, who said "the
opportunity to promote economic freedom in the UAE
through free markets and free trade should not be
sacrificed in the current debate on the port deal".
Nevertheless, US spokespersons say that they want the
UAE-US Free Trade Agreement to be finalized before the
year end.
In the meantime, Arab banks have indicated their
displeasure with US attitudes to Dubai by seeking to
replace Dollar reserves with Euros.
The UAE Central Bank announced that it was considering
thus converting 10 per cent of its reserves. "They (US
administration) are contravening their own principles,"
said Al Suweidi, warning, "investors are going to take
this into consideration and will look at investment
opportunities through new binoculars".
Similarly outraged was Hamad Saud Al-Sayyari the
Governor of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority. "Is it
protectionism or discrimination?" he asked of the Dubai
Ports fiasco. "Is it okay for US companies to buy
everywhere but it is not okay for other companies to buy
in the US?
The Commercial Bank of Syria has already has already
exchanged Dollar devise for Euros after calls from the
White House urging US banks to quit operations as
correspondent banks for Syrian financial institutions
using money-launder concerns as a pretext.
Interestingly Russia and Sweden, for their own reasons,
have swapped Dollar reserves for Euros, which caused a
weakening in the greenback.
At the same time, Iran, which is coming under increasing
pressure from the US over its alleged nuclear ambitions,
is set to open a regional oil bourse that will trade in
Euros and threaten the hegemony of the petrodollar.
Mid-East banks with branches in the US are particularly
vulnerable to the political climate. Currently, the Arab
Bank, whose head office is in Jordan, is one of three
banks being sued by families of American victims of
suicide bombers, killed while on vacation in Israel. The
Arab Bank, say the litigants, has channeled money to
Hamas, an accusation that led to the bank's closure of
Hamas accounts.
At the time of writing, the only bank willing to accept
donations for the Hamas-led Palestinian National
Authority is an Egyptian bank Misr International Bank,
which goes to prove just how much influence the US has
on regional banking practices.
Post 9-11 Arab-owned deposits in the US were at risk
when the families of 600 victims of the attacks took out
a lawsuit against members of the Saudi royal family for
US$1 trillion, as well as against seven Arab banks,
Islamic charities and government companies.
Many banks in the region are nervous about direct
investment in the US, especially those that are wholly
or in part owned by countries in the Bush
administration's line of fire, fearing that US assets
could be frozen or even confiscated in the event of
conflict.
This fear is real. In March 2003, the US government
seized Iraqi assets and vested billions of Iraq's money
in the US Treasury. Another US$ 3.7 billion was frozen
by US allies.
With oil prices over the US$ 70 dollar per barrel
benchmark, the region is awash with oil revenues which
need a fertile home. Traditionally this has been the US,
which held up to 50 per cent of all Arab investment, but
given the current hostile climate towards Arabs, the
question many are asking is this: which countries are
viable alternatives?
According to the Russian-Arab Business Council, Saudi
Arabia withdrew US$ 200 billion from the US in 2004, the
UAE US$ 2 billion and Qatar US$ 2.7 billion. Most of
this has been placed in European banks. The problem is
that Europe is politically affiliated with the US, often
acting in tandem with America during a crisis.
Japan and Switzerland are perceived as safe havens but
Japan's financial system is loaded with red tape and
interest rates negligible, while Switzerland places
security of deposits over investor gains.
There is a belief that Asia is about to receive a hefty
flow of funds from the Middle East, which some analysts
put at several billion dollars. India, China, Singapore
and Malaysia, in particular, are positioning for what
they hope will be a deluge.
According to an article titled "Kicking the Oil Habit"
in the Global Finance magazine, Arab investment
abroad is being made "in the United States, Europe and
Asia and include US Treasuries as well as real estate in
Paris, London and New York.
The article quotes Arif Naqvi, the Executive Vice
Chairman and CEO of Dubai-based Abraaj Capital as
saying, "The paradigm is shifting and an opportunity is
being created in emerging markets." Naqvi suggests that
Arab investors, who formerly invested in petrodollars or
T-Bills, have a new found confidence in their own
region.
"I don't think its a temporary phenomenon," he says.
"There is a lot of liquidity that is driven in part by
high oil prices and the strong performance of stock
markets (despite the recent market blip), but it is also
driven by the fact that Arab investors have begun to
realize it is easier to invest closer to home."
It is also true to say that Arab countries often offer
attractive returns on investments and, sometimes rock
hard guarantees that aren't available in the West.
Sadly, the low level of intra-Arab investment is partly
due to the lack of trust between various Arab countries
and the way that laws, rules and regulations that govern
finance are often changed at the drop of a hat. Saudi
Arabia is at present the largest Arab recipient of
foreign investment.
An article by the former editor of Al-Ahram Weekly
titled "An Absence of Will" suggests Arabs "should look
to our neighbors north of the Mediterranean. They have
much to teach us: they have after all, made the
transition from erstwhile enemies that fought two world
wars to an unprecedented degree of economic cooperation.
Within half a century those countries mended their
fences, launched a common market and a common currency
and began to expand their scope of cooperation to the
realms of foreign policy and security."
In an ideal world, the bulk of Arab money should stay
firmly at home. This would not only benefit the region
financially but would also alleviate ideological
concerns. For instance, Saudi Arabia alone has more than
US$ 1 trillion invested in the US; a country that uses
its wealth on weapons with which to invade and occupy
Muslim nations and which supports Israeli aggression and
expansion to the detriment of the Palestinians.
On an individual level, the Arab love affair with the US
has certainly waned. The Wall Street Journal
tells us that far fewer Arabs travel to the US on
holiday preferring "the resort hotels, theme parks and
shopping malls of Dubai". Moreover, well known clinics
such as the Mayo Clinic and the Cleveland Clinic have
seen a drop in Arab patients of between 20 30 per cent
since 9-11. US universities and colleges have also
witnessed a sharp decline in Arab students, representing
a loss of US$ 43 million annually.
As long as Americans look upon the tragic events of
September 11 as the benchmark against which all Middle
East states and their peoples should be judged in
perpetuity, then Arab investors will continue seeking
friendlier markets. American paranoia and xenophobia
should be tempered if the American dream is to stay
intact.
If the withdrawal of Arab funds in the US becomes a
flood instead of a trickle and more and more countries
move from Dollars to Euros, then the much admired US
economic bubble could be in for a massive and
unprecedented burst.
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