As everyone knows, a number of Western banks have either
collapsed, been wholly or partly nationalized, or are still in
intensive care. The pumping of trillions of dollars by
governments into the ailing banking system was an attempt to
stem the bleeding. But even this mega sum will not be enough to
keep the patient healthy in the long term.
Even as I write, there will be politicians, financial experts
and business people meeting to discuss this vastly complex
subject affecting all of us. However, the bottom line is this:
love them or hate them, banks are the beating heart of every
economy and cannot be allowed to fail again.
While I sympathise with those on ‘Main Street’ who object to
their tax monies going to institutions that they believe
triggered the crisis, there was no alternative. If the banking
system goes down, no-one is immune. Moreover, critics who argue
that government intervention contravenes the sacrosanct
principles of capitalism are misguided. In an emergency, who
stops to think whether or not they should save the occupants of
a blazing house?
In my view, the US government should not have stood by as Lehman
Brothers went into receivership and Britain should have acted
more swiftly to save Northern Rock, which might have staved off
ensuing panic.
For some time, I have been mulling over with friends, advisors
and colleagues what must be done to restore confidence in banks
so that they are once again respected as trustworthy guardians
of our wealth. My considered advice follows.
Back to Basics
According to the Cambridge Dictionary, a bank is, “an
organization where people and businesses can invest or borrow
money, change it to foreign money, etc.” Admittedly, that
description still covers the core business of many banks, but
over the decades banks have become less and less conservative in
their dealings. Until recently, they were aggressively marketing
loans and credit cards to people who could ill afford repayments
as well as using customer’s money to play for high risk stakes.
Some banks have even diversified their scope of business
interests to the extent they can hardly be termed ‘banks’
anymore. Perhaps it is time they streamlined their operations
and returned to more traditional roles.
Bearing in mind that this turmoil was caused by the sub-prime
crisis, ‘back to basics’ means banks should stick to their
former rules of lending whereby loans were issued only to
creditworthy customers with appropriate collateral or solid
business plans.
Maintaining Liquidity and Capital
Banks must maintain an effective level of liquidity to counter a
situation such as the one we are in now where banks are refusing
to lend to one another. It would help if governments made their
bailouts contingent on normalcy of inter-bank lending.
They should also ensure that they have adequate capital so that
they can withstand unforeseen losses without having to take
hasty decisions to shore up their capital. To this end, global
banking regulators should agree on what constitutes, “Tier 1
Capital” - a bank’s ability to sustain future losses based on
the ratio of its equity capital to its risk-weighted assets.
Resumption of Lending
Banks must not only lend to one another, but also to
creditworthy individuals and companies. Economies can only
flourish when cash is once again circulating through their
veins. For instance, the US auto industry is said to be in
trouble because people cannot get loans to buy cars.
Further, banks must ensure that lowered interest rates are
trickled down to customers so that they can buy homes and
refinance existing mortgages. This is a prerequisite for the
return of a healthy housing market.
Oversight and Regulation
In every profession there are inefficiencies and a small
percentage of rogues. Banking and related fields are no
exception. If necessary, laws need to be passed to hold banking
heads accountable for malpractice or dereliction of duty.
Managers of banks requiring government rescue should be replaced
as a condition of those bailouts. Bank executives, who succumbed
to pressure to outperform their rivals by indulging in risky
ventures, should be questioned about their involvement in toxic
assets. If they are found guilty of wrongdoing, they must be
punished as a deterrent to others.
Regulatory authorities need to be more stringent and should
devise clear-cut rules limiting the level of leverage an
institution can achieve in relation to its capital. Auditors
must be scrupulous, while rating agencies should pay a price for
assigning misleadingly high ratings to suspect investments.
My old friend, former US Congressman Paul Findley, believes
there has been “a criminal lack of bank regulation” to date, and
I fully agree.
Goodbye to the ‘Gravy Train’
Banking bosses and executives have had it too good for too long.
They have a right to be justly rewarded for their services to
their shareholders and customers, but not to the tune of annual
million dollar bonuses and, in some cases, multi-million dollar
‘golden parachutes’.
The sight of CEOs of bankrupt banks walking into the sunset with
whopping cash ‘rewards’ is surely obscene when their customers
have to struggle just to regain their hard-earned savings.
Other Crucial Factors
Economic recovery, however, is not entirely in the hands of
bankers. Wealthy investors and the managers of sovereign wealth
funds, as well as other cash-heavy funds, need to take a deep
breath and resume their investment activities. Once smaller
investors notice sophisticated investors are back in the game,
market confidence will be restored.
Lastly, the media must refrain from its constant drip-drip of
financial bad news that is so pernicious it can reverse the
fortunes of banks, companies and corporations that are
essentially hale and hearty. Most of us support a free media but
at a time when global economies are in dire straits, newspapers
and television are morally, if not legally, bound to cooperate
with those striving to return them to a stable footing.
There may also be an argument for government reining-in of the
media. Alternatively, they should be fined for any
unsubstantiated rumours it publishes or broadcasts that have an
adverse effect on financial houses or corporations.
Without wishing to be overly dramatic, the prevailing climate is
akin to wartime. Lives and livelihoods are at stake. People’s
entire futures and fortunes are in the balance. The status quo
cannot continue. Change must be effected now. The alternative is
a grim legacy of debt and uncertainty for our children and
grandchildren. If we do not act wisely, will they ever forgive
us? Will we ever forgive ourselves?
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